Actuary is one of those insurance words
that makes people want to run the other
way. Although you don't need to
know it in order to
compare term life
insurance policies, it's not
a bad idea to know how life insurance
companies manage their business using
actuarial data. Let's dig a little
deeper into actuaries and find out how
to use this information to make better
decisions when researching our options.
Being
in the life insurance business, we
typically have a pre-conception of
actuaries (the people that use actuarial
data) sitting in rooms with reams and
reams of data, charts, slide-rulers and
some thick black glasses. This may
have been true in the past but actuary
is all about information and statistics
and that passed into the realm of
computers years ago. An actuary's
job is extremely difficult...to predict
the future...in the case of
life insurance,
the probability of a person or
percentage of people passing away.
The margin of error is extremely small
as term life insurance has become so
competitive. How does an actuary
accomplish this?
Actuaries must first start with the
past. It's not a perfect roadmap
for the future but it's a good start.
This "actuarial" data is the first step
in understanding the past. What
should the life insurance company look
at? Since life insurance deals
with the financial impact of death,
historical data regarding death is the
most critical. The key is to
narrow this information down to what
factors actually affect the probability
of death. Age obviously is the
most critical factor. In year
2005, the probability of death at age
25-34 in California is 84 per 100,000
people. This increases (per 100K)
to 161 for age 35-44. That's
roughly double the increase in
probability of passing away. This
doubling continues for the most part
with each 10 year band of increasing
life. So obviously, age is
significant. The rate at age 75-84
is 4800 per 100,000. This
information is based on 2005 data for
California. What's missing from
this actuarial data? One critical
distinctions that shows in the
probability of death and resultantly,
your
life insurance
premium
is...Gender. There is a
fairly significant difference in the
probability of death between men and
women with men carrying the short end of
the stick. So gender is now a
refinement of the actuarial data that
drives rates you will find in your
quote.
This
baseline information is further narrowed
as much as possible. The better
visibility that an actuary has into the
data, the more narrow and lower the
rates can be. The rates can be
further narrowed for area (there's a big
discrepancy in mortality rates based on
region), occupation, height/weight,
cholesterol, medical status, blood
pressure, family medical history, and
more. Needless to say, all these
attributes and more are reflected in
either the term life insurance
application or the
paramedical exam.
The life company that can best gather
and read this actuarial information has
an advantage when pricing their plans.
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